Belmont Park Track Trends

NYRA handicapper Andy Serling analyzes Belmont Park track trends and conditions in hopes to uncover insights about potential track biases. This can be a helpful resource for handicappers, as track conditions can change from one day to the next.

2026

Thursday, October 15

Track Condition: Fast / Firm
Weather: Clear
Temperature: 63
Wind: 11 to 19 MPH NE

All surfaces, turf and dirt, played fairly.

Wednesday, October 14

Track Condition: Fast / Good
Weather: Clear
Temperature: 77
Wind: 7 to 15 MPH SW

There were three races on the Main Track, two were won with inside speed, but both were favored. The other race was run fairly. In all likelihood the track was fair but could be worth following. The rails were at 36 feet on both turf courses. They both played fairly.

Sunday, October 11

Track Condition: Sloppy ( sealed ) / Off / Fast ( Tapeta )
Weather: Rain
Temperature: 65
Wind: 15 to 25 MPH East

Speed was an advantage on the Main Track, though not insurmountable. Much of the best running was done off the rail but we saw horses run OK near the inside. Possible speed was at least a slight edge, beyond race dynamics, on the Tapeta.

Saturday, October 10

Track Condition: Fast / Firm
Weather: Clear
Temperature: 67
Wind: 5 to 15 MPH East

Seemed like the rail was bad on the Main Track but the 9th race argues a bit differently. Worth following. The turf courses appeared to play fairly.

Friday, October 9

Track Condition: Fast / Firm
Weather: Clear
Temperature: 70
Wind: 10 to 20 MPH West

All surfaces, turf and dirt, played fairly. 

Thursday, October 8

Track Condition: Fast / Firm
Weather: Clear
Temperature: 76
Wind: 15 to 25 MPH West

All surfaces, turf and dirt, played fairly.

Wednesday, October 7

Track Condition: Fast / Firm
Weather: Clear
Temperature: 63
Wind: 15 to 25 MPH South

There were four dirt races, and for the most part forwardly placed horses dominated. Not a clear bias but worth considering. The rails were out 24 feet on the turf courses, both of which played fairly.

Sunday, October 4

Track Condition: Fast ( 1,2,5 );Good ( 8 ) / Firm ( 3,4 ); Good ( 6,7,9,10 )
Weather: Showers
Temperature: 62
Wind: 15 to 25 MPH East

While never particularly heavy rain, there was a fairly consistent drizzle most of the day, increasing a little as the day wore on. There is nothing to suggest it affected the Main Track, which played fairly. The Widener also appeared to play fairly. We saw closers dominate the races on the Inner Turf. Not clear this was a bias but could be worth following.

Saturday, October 3

Track Condition: Fast / Firm
Weather: Clear
Temperature: 69
Wind: 10 to 20 MPH NE

All surfaces, turf and dirt, played fairly. Moving outside seemed at times like an advantage on the Main Track but we also saw the second winner wire the field inside. 

Friday, October 2

Track Condition: Fast / Firm
Weather: Clear
Temperature: 81
Wind: 10 to 20 MPH SW

The Main Track played fairly. The rails were at zero on both turf courses, and while the rail was good on both, it wasn't any clear advantage as overall the races played out fairly.

Thursday, October 1

Track Condition: Fast / Firm
Weather: Clear
Temperature: 75
Wind: 5 to 15 MPH South

While some races may make it appear that speed was an advantage on the Main Track, overall it played fairly. The rails were at 12 feet on both turf courses. Both played fairly. 

Wednesday, September 30

Track Condition: Fast / Off / Fast
Weather: Clear
Temperature: 71
Wind: 3 to 6 MPH NW

Being forward may have been a bit of an advantage on the Main Track, but arguably the track was at least close to fair. There were two scheduled turf races that were moved to the synthetic track. Likely that track played fairly.

Friday, September 25

Track Condition: Fast / Firm
Weather: Cloudy
Temperature: 68
Wind: 15 to 25 MPH NE

Speed dominated three of the four Main Track races, with one winner at 1:9, but the other was run more fairly. Likely not as strong a bias as 9/24. The turf courses appeared to play fairly. 

Thursday, September 24

Track Condition: Fast / Firm
Weather: Cloudy
Temperature: 64
Wind: 15 to 25 MPH NE

There was an extreme speed bias on the Main Track. Horses were not making up any significant ground. The rails remain 36 feet out on both courses. The Widener played fairly while the inside might be a slight advantage on the Inner.

Sunday, September 20

Track Condition: Muddy ( Harrowed ) / Good / Fast ( Tapeta )
Weather: Showery
Temperature: 65
Wind: 10 to 20 MPH SE

While the Main Track was listed as Muddy, it was closer to Good, especially for the first few dirt races. While three of the four races played much like Saturday with an outside flow, the 3rd race was won wire to wire by a horse close to the inside. Perhaps worth following. There was one Turf race, on the Widener, and no reason to suggest it didn't play fairly. Today was the first day of Synthetic racing. The paces were very slow in the two routes, while more "normal" in the sprints. The dynamics, pace, played the biggest role in the way the races were run. Tough to say the surface was other than Fair.

Saturday, September 19

Track Condition: Fast / Firm
Weather: Clear
Temperature: 61
Wind: 10 to 20 MPH SE

Not clear the rail was dead on the Main Track, though it's possible, as there was almost certainly an outside flow to the dirt races. The Mellon Turf played fairly with the rail a possible mild advantage on the Inner Turf.

Friday, September 18

Track Condition: Fast / Firm
Weather: Clear
Temperature: 77
Wind: 5 to 15 MPH North

The Main Track played fairly. The rails were out 36 feet on both turf courses. The Mellon course appeared to play fairly while there is an argument that saving ground was at least a slight advantage on the Inner Turf. 

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